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Nigeria’s economy on right tract – CBN

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CBN building in Abuja
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The Director Monetary Policy Department of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Dr Hassan Mahmud, said there were positive sides to Nigeria’s economic growth, despite uncertainties in the domestic and global economy.

Mahmud said this at the Mid-year Economic Review and Outlook 2021, organised by the CIBN Centre for Financial Studies, in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates, on Friday in Lagos.

He said if policy challenges with exchange rates, insecurity, among others, were addressed effectively, the country would start seeing some positive projections into 2021 and the beginning of 2022.

“Also, if the CBN forecasts for GDP growth are sustained and there is improved vaccination and the health hazards and lockdowns are not resurfacing, we will see GDP getting close to three per cent by the end of 2021.

“We will also see the inflation number coming down less than 13 per cent by the end of the year and further down to the NBS projection of single digit by 2022 or the middle of 2022.

“We will start seeing a downward trend in inflation numbers particularly, headline inflation,” he said.

Mahmud added that food inflation should also go down substantially if the supply side of it was addressed and security issues abated.

He said inflows should also improve substantially over the rest of the year given that market confidences were already building, particularly, in the financial sector.

Dr Biodun Adedipe, Chief Consultant of BAA Consult, said if the oil sector was positive in terms of prices and production volume and export volume, it would go a long way in driving growth.

“At BAA, our projections for Nigeria economic growth for 2021 had remained 2.54 per cent since February and we have maintained it so.

“If the prognosis, the oil sector in Nigeria is positive in terms of price, production volume and export volume, that goes a long way in driving growth and changing some of what we see as headwinds and risks,” he said.

Earlier, Dr Bayo Olugbemi, CIBN President, said the event was the brainchild of the CIBN Research Committee.

He said it was aimed at providing insights for business leaders and key decision makers, who had responsibility to deliver on specific mandates irrespective of the prevailing uncertainties and disruptions in the Nigerian economy.

“There is a strong need for further guidance to help individuals and businesses make informed and strategic decisions that will help them weather the storm,” said Olugbemi. (NAN)

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Business & Economy

Tinubu Rules Out Fuel Subsidy Return, Says Nigeria Cannot Go Back to ‘Egypt’

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu
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President Bola Tinubu has ruled out any return to petrol subsidy, insisting that the removal of the policy was necessary to prevent Nigeria’s economy from sliding into bankruptcy.

The President reiterated his position on Monday during a meeting with members of the City Boy Movement, a youth-driven political and advocacy group, where he defended the economic reforms introduced by his administration.

Tinubu said the government could no longer sustain the financial burden of subsidising petrol, arguing that the country lacked the resources required to continue funding the scheme.

“I came, and I removed the subsidy on my first day. Nigeria would have gone bankrupt; there was nothing left to pay for subsidies,” he said.

Using a biblical and Quranic analogy to underscore his position, the President declared that reversing the policy would amount to returning to an unsustainable economic system.

“When Moses (Musa) left Egypt, the Red Sea parted and gave way. You cannot ask Moses to go back to Egypt. With your energy and support, we will never go back to Egypt,” he stated.

The removal of petrol subsidy, announced during Tinubu’s inauguration on May 29, 2023, marked a major shift in Nigeria’s fiscal policy. The decision significantly increased petrol prices and contributed to mounting pressure on household incomes, transportation costs and businesses.

Petrol prices, which were below ₦200 per litre before the policy change, have since risen substantially, with prices reported at between ₦1,350 and ₦1,405 per litre across major filling stations.

The resulting increase in energy and transportation costs has continued to fuel public concerns over inflation, declining purchasing power and the overall cost of living.

However, the Federal Government has maintained that subsidy removal is critical to reducing fiscal pressure, improving public revenue and creating room for investment in infrastructure and other priority sectors.

Tinubu acknowledged the political contest surrounding the policy, noting that his opponents had promised to restore fuel subsidy. He nevertheless maintained that his administration would not reverse the reform.

Beyond defending the policy, the President urged members of the City Boy Movement to mobilise support for his administration by communicating its achievements and future plans to young Nigerians across campuses, markets and rural communities.

He also encouraged eligible young people to obtain their Permanent Voter Cards (PVCs) and participate in the electoral process.

The debate over fuel subsidy remains a central issue in Nigeria’s economic policy, with the government defending the reform on fiscal sustainability grounds while households and businesses continue to grapple with the effects of higher fuel prices.

 

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FG Rules Out Electricity Tariff Hike, Targets 24-Hour Power Supply

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The Federal Government has ruled out any plan to increase electricity tariffs, saying its priority is to improve power supply and ensure reliable electricity across the country.

The Minister of Power, Joseph Tegbe, gave the assurance in Ibadan, Oyo State, on Thursday, amid concerns and speculation about a possible increase in electricity tariffs.

Tegbe spoke during the groundbreaking ceremony for five interconnected mini-grid projects with a combined generation capacity of 17.7 megawatts and a 17.74-megawatt-hour Battery Energy Storage System (BESS).

“I want to say this clearly and without ambiguity: there is no plan to increase electricity tariffs. What we are planning is a power sector that works around the clock. Our commitment is 24/7 power,” the minister said.

He urged Nigerians to disregard reports suggesting an impending tariff hike, stressing that the government was focused on improving electricity generation, transmission and distribution.

The five mini-grid projects are located in Bola, Jiboye, Molade-Adelubi, Ogo Oluwa and Sooko-Elega. They are expected to provide electricity to communities across Akinyele, Ido, Ibadan North, Egbeda and Lagelu Local Government Areas of Oyo State.

According to the minister, the projects are designed to expand electricity access, reduce dependence on petrol and diesel-powered generators, and create a more favourable environment for businesses, investment and job creation.

Tegbe said the Federal Government was also implementing a broader energy strategy aimed at improving electricity supply through designated energy corridors, including the Lagos-Ogun, Abuja-Kaduna-Kano and Benin-Enugu-Port Harcourt corridors.

He added that efforts were underway to strengthen the national grid and upgrade generation and transmission infrastructure across the country’s eastern, western and central corridors.

The minister described the mini-grid initiative as part of President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda, noting that similar electricity interventions had been implemented in communities across several states with support from the Rural Electrification Agency (REA).

He commended Tinubu for his leadership and acknowledged the contributions of the REA, project developer Paras Energy and Natural Resources Development Limited, the World Bank and the Ibadan Electricity Distribution Company.

Tegbe also recognised the Oyo State Government, traditional rulers and other stakeholders for their roles in facilitating the projects.

The initiative is expected to improve electricity reliability in the beneficiary communities, support local economic activities and reduce energy costs for households and businesses.

 

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Oyedele Warns Against New Taxes, Urges Governments to Explore Revenue Alternatives

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu
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Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, has cautioned governments against imposing new taxes or increasing the tax burden on vulnerable citizens and productive sectors amid economic pressures.

Oyedele spoke on the sidelines of the 2026 annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank in Bangkok, Thailand, where he presented the communiqué of the Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four (G24), which he chairs.

The minister said governments should prioritise identifying areas of savings, improving revenue mobilisation and strengthening fiscal management rather than introducing additional tax burdens that could further strain households and businesses.

“This is the wrong time to impose new taxes or increase the burden of tax, particularly on the vulnerable population and productive sectors of the economy,” he said.

Oyedele made the remarks while responding to questions on how developing countries could reduce debt-servicing costs without cutting essential public expenditure.

He urged governments to look inward for savings and explore more efficient ways of generating revenue while protecting vulnerable populations from further financial pressure.

On public borrowing, the minister said debt financing remained necessary to support economic growth but stressed that borrowed funds should be deployed to stimulate job creation and promote inclusive development.

He noted that governments should prioritise limited public resources for essential services, including healthcare and education, while leveraging private capital to support other investment needs.

Oyedele also cautioned against treating taxation and borrowing as mutually exclusive options, explaining that both have economic implications and must be carefully balanced.

According to him, excessive taxation of vulnerable households could reduce their capacity to afford basic necessities, including food, healthcare and education.

He described public debt as a future tax burden, emphasising the need for governments to adopt fiscal policies that balance present revenue needs with long-term economic sustainability.

“Debt is future taxes, so it’s not one or the other. It’s to strike a balance, bearing in mind ultimately that the essence of tax and of debts is to cater for the people,” he said.

The minister’s remarks underscore the need for developing economies to strengthen domestic revenue mobilisation, improve public spending efficiency and manage debt sustainably without undermining household welfare or productive economic activities.

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