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Nigeria’s economy on right tract – CBN

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The Director Monetary Policy Department of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Dr Hassan Mahmud, said there were positive sides to Nigeria’s economic growth, despite uncertainties in the domestic and global economy.

Mahmud said this at the Mid-year Economic Review and Outlook 2021, organised by the CIBN Centre for Financial Studies, in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates, on Friday in Lagos.

He said if policy challenges with exchange rates, insecurity, among others, were addressed effectively, the country would start seeing some positive projections into 2021 and the beginning of 2022.

“Also, if the CBN forecasts for GDP growth are sustained and there is improved vaccination and the health hazards and lockdowns are not resurfacing, we will see GDP getting close to three per cent by the end of 2021.

“We will also see the inflation number coming down less than 13 per cent by the end of the year and further down to the NBS projection of single digit by 2022 or the middle of 2022.

“We will start seeing a downward trend in inflation numbers particularly, headline inflation,” he said.

Mahmud added that food inflation should also go down substantially if the supply side of it was addressed and security issues abated.

He said inflows should also improve substantially over the rest of the year given that market confidences were already building, particularly, in the financial sector.

Dr Biodun Adedipe, Chief Consultant of BAA Consult, said if the oil sector was positive in terms of prices and production volume and export volume, it would go a long way in driving growth.

“At BAA, our projections for Nigeria economic growth for 2021 had remained 2.54 per cent since February and we have maintained it so.

“If the prognosis, the oil sector in Nigeria is positive in terms of price, production volume and export volume, that goes a long way in driving growth and changing some of what we see as headwinds and risks,” he said.

Earlier, Dr Bayo Olugbemi, CIBN President, said the event was the brainchild of the CIBN Research Committee.

He said it was aimed at providing insights for business leaders and key decision makers, who had responsibility to deliver on specific mandates irrespective of the prevailing uncertainties and disruptions in the Nigerian economy.

“There is a strong need for further guidance to help individuals and businesses make informed and strategic decisions that will help them weather the storm,” said Olugbemi. (NAN)

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Business & Economy

Protests In Abuja Demanding Investigation Into Guaranty Trust Bank Operations

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A protest was held today at the Police Force Headquarters in Abuja, organized by the Coalition of Civil Society for Good Governance in Nigeria, calling for an urgent investigation into serious allegations against Guaranty Trust Bank Limited (GTB). The bank, under the leadership of Segun Agbaje, is facing accusations of corruption, money laundering, unsolicited account openings, and more.

The Chief Convener of the coalition, Comrade Tijani Usman addressed the crowd, highlighting the pervasive issue of corruption that has plagued Nigeria’s socio-economic landscape since 1960. He emphasized the critical role of the banking sector in economic development and criticized the lack of action from regulatory and law enforcement agencies regarding GTB’s alleged infractions.

“The allegations against GTB are serious and cannot be ignored,” Usman stated. He urged the Nigeria Police Force to prioritize these claims and conduct a thorough investigation to hold accountable those responsible for any wrongdoing.

Participants in the protest voiced their concerns about recent operational failures at GTB, particularly a prolonged outage of the bank’s payment systems, which resulted in substantial losses for customers. The coalition called for the bank’s management to focus on resolving these critical issues instead of engaging in activities that undermine trust.

The protesters also appealed to the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission to take a proactive stance in investigating the allegations and ensuring accountability within the banking sector.

As the coalition continues its peaceful demonstrations, they remain steadfast in their commitment to advocating for justice for affected customers and investors. This protest reflects a growing demand for greater transparency and accountability in Nigeria’s banking system, as civil society seeks to foster an environment where corruption is actively challenged and addressed.

The response from authorities to this protest may significantly impact the future governance of financial institutions in Nigeria, highlighting the necessity for reform and vigilance in the fight against corruption.

 

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Renewable Energy Stakeholders Advocates Sustainable Financing Model

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Stakeholders in the renewable energy sector have called for a sustainable financing model to ensure attainment of Nigeria’s Energy Transition Programmes (ETP).

The stakeholders made the call in Abuja on Tuesday at a stakeholders engagement on the nation’s energy transition programme.

They were of the view that financing, especially private sector finance mobilisation was key in execution of ETP programmes in Nigeria.

The programme with the theme titled “Maximizing Just Energy Transition Opportunities through ban Inclusive Country Platform was organised by the Yar’ Adua Foundation.

Mr Patrick Okigbo of Nextier Advisory Energy Transition Limited, an energy transition advocated for a funding model that was sustainable.

He said the nation could adopt model like the petroleum development funding model where funds from petroleum proceeds could be dedicated to drive ETP.

He also said the sustainable financing could only be attained with the support of the private sector, saying that government can not totally fund the ETP.

“here should be clear financial and comprehensive plan to attract private financing.”

According to him, energy security should be considered as critical along side national security in Nigeria.

He said efforts should be made to place the people and the communities at the centre of ETP.

“To achieve energy transition in Nigeria, we must place the people and communities at the heart of every activity and discussion of energy transition programmes, engaging them to understand their needs.

“Creating community based ETP strategy to address negative impact in ETP.

“We need to strengthen government commitment and leadership on ETP,with strong political will, more commitment, more action and less talks.”

He said government must work toward addressing the micro economic uncertainties , address infrastructure challenges and ensure provision of infrastructure for renewable energy development.

“We must drive stakeholders collaboration to minimise resistance and foster trust.*

Mr Olumide Onitekun of African Policy Research Institute(APRI) advocated the use of just energy transition for ETP in Nigeria.

He said just energy transition was all about defunding fossil fuels in a way that reduces inequality, while prioritising economic, racial, and gender justice.

He, however, said the plan required political will, private sector collaboration and programmed funding approach.

Earlier, the Director Partnership and Development ,Yar’ Adua Foundation, Mr Amara Nwankpa said the ETP , while ambitious does not align with a least cost pathway to total electrification.

He said there was need to envision a different future , one where renewable energy would drive economic growth, job creation and expanded energy access.

High point of the event was a panel discussion on ensuring an inclusive and equitable energy transition opportunities and challenges.

Others were presentation of stakeholders commitments on next steps to energy transition programmes in Nigeria.

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Nigeria Officially Commences Crude Oil Sales In Naira

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Nigeria has officially commenced the sales of crude oil and refined petroleum products in naira, the Federal Government has announced.

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, on Saturday said that in line with the Federal Executive Council (FEC) directive, the sale of the products in naira commenced on October 1.

This was disclosed in a statement by the Director of the Information and Public Relations, Ministry of Finance, Mohammed Manga.

“Following a meeting of the Implementation Committee, Chaired by the Honourable Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy to conduct a post-commencement review of the Crude Oil and Refined Products Sales in Naira initiative, the commencement of this strategic initiative was affirmed by key stakeholders,” the statement read.

“The meeting brought together prominent figures, including the Honourable Minister of State, Petroleum (Oil), the Special Adviser to the President on Revenue, the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, the Chief Executive of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), the representative of the Chairman of Dangote Group, the Vice President of Dangote Group, and the management of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC), led by the Group Chief Executive Officer (GCEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), and Executive Vice President (Downstream).”

Manga noted that the strategic initiative and bold step taken by President Bola Tinubu-led administration is expected to have a lasting impact on Nigeria’s economy, enhancing growth, stability, and self-sufficiency.

He added that the country continues to navigate the complexities of global markets, and the strategic move positions Nigeria for success in the future.

The move comes about nine weeks after the FEC approved a proposal by Tinubu directing the NNPC to sell crude oil to Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other refineries in naira.

The Federal Government had said the sale of crude oil to the Dangote refinery and other refineries in naira would commence on October 1.

The policy aims to stabilise pump prices, potentially resulting in lower and more predictable fuel costs for consumers.

With transactions in Naira rather than dollars, the pressure on foreign exchange reserves would ease, leading to the stabilization of the dollar-Naira exchange rate and control inflation.

It would also increase the capacity of local refining that will in turn reduce dependence on imported fuel, saving billions of dollars that can be reinvested into other areas of the economy.

The government’s move would also boost local refining capacity to strengthen Nigeria’s energy security by ensuring a more reliable and self-sufficient fuel supply.

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