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Nigeria’s economy on right tract – CBN

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CBN building in Abuja
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The Director Monetary Policy Department of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Dr Hassan Mahmud, said there were positive sides to Nigeria’s economic growth, despite uncertainties in the domestic and global economy.

Mahmud said this at the Mid-year Economic Review and Outlook 2021, organised by the CIBN Centre for Financial Studies, in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates, on Friday in Lagos.

He said if policy challenges with exchange rates, insecurity, among others, were addressed effectively, the country would start seeing some positive projections into 2021 and the beginning of 2022.

“Also, if the CBN forecasts for GDP growth are sustained and there is improved vaccination and the health hazards and lockdowns are not resurfacing, we will see GDP getting close to three per cent by the end of 2021.

“We will also see the inflation number coming down less than 13 per cent by the end of the year and further down to the NBS projection of single digit by 2022 or the middle of 2022.

“We will start seeing a downward trend in inflation numbers particularly, headline inflation,” he said.

Mahmud added that food inflation should also go down substantially if the supply side of it was addressed and security issues abated.

He said inflows should also improve substantially over the rest of the year given that market confidences were already building, particularly, in the financial sector.

Dr Biodun Adedipe, Chief Consultant of BAA Consult, said if the oil sector was positive in terms of prices and production volume and export volume, it would go a long way in driving growth.

“At BAA, our projections for Nigeria economic growth for 2021 had remained 2.54 per cent since February and we have maintained it so.

“If the prognosis, the oil sector in Nigeria is positive in terms of price, production volume and export volume, that goes a long way in driving growth and changing some of what we see as headwinds and risks,” he said.

Earlier, Dr Bayo Olugbemi, CIBN President, said the event was the brainchild of the CIBN Research Committee.

He said it was aimed at providing insights for business leaders and key decision makers, who had responsibility to deliver on specific mandates irrespective of the prevailing uncertainties and disruptions in the Nigerian economy.

“There is a strong need for further guidance to help individuals and businesses make informed and strategic decisions that will help them weather the storm,” said Olugbemi. (NAN)

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Business & Economy

Nigeria, UK Move to Close £1.2bn Trade Data Gap with Digital Customs Pact

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Nigeria and the United Kingdom have agreed to deepen customs cooperation through a new digital data-sharing framework aimed at resolving a £1.2 billion discrepancy in bilateral trade figures, a longstanding issue affecting transparency and efficiency between both economies.

The agreement was reached during a high-level meeting in London on March 18, 2026, held on the sidelines of President Bola Tinubu’s state visit under the Nigeria–UK Enhanced Trade and Investment Partnership (ETIP).

According to the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS), the talks brought together Comptroller-General Adewale Adeniyi and Ms. Megan Shaw, Head of International Customs and Border Engagement at His Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC), with discussions focused on customs modernisation, trade data transparency, and operational collaboration.

At the centre of the engagement is a significant mismatch in trade statistics. Nigeria recorded about £504 million worth of imports from the UK in 2024, while UK data shows exports to Nigeria at approximately £1.7 billion over the same period — leaving a gap of roughly £1.2 billion.

Both sides described the discrepancy as structural and agreed on coordinated measures to address it. Chief among these is the proposed implementation of a pre-arrival data exchange system, which will connect digital customs platforms in both countries to improve data accuracy, strengthen risk management, and enhance compliance monitoring.

Adeniyi emphasised that stronger customs collaboration is vital for economic growth and sustainable trade, noting that customs authorities play a key role in ensuring secure and transparent cross-border trade flows.

The meeting also highlighted advancements in customs technology, with the UK showcasing artificial intelligence-driven tools, digital verification systems, and real-time analytics designed to improve cargo processing, risk assessment, and border security.

In addition to addressing the data gap, both countries agreed on several strategic initiatives, including the development of a Customs Mutual Administrative Assistance Framework, technical cooperation on capacity building, and the establishment of a joint engagement mechanism under ETIP.

The NCS said the outcomes of the meeting would enhance operational efficiency, boost trade facilitation, and support Nigeria’s broader economic reform agenda, positioning the country for improved competitiveness in global trade.

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Nigeria’s “Shockproof” Economy: Cardoso Signals New Era of Stability to London Investors

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CBN Governor, Yemi Cardoso
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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor Olayemi Cardoso issued a bullish assessment of the nation’s financial health yesterday, declaring that aggressive institutional reforms and disciplined monetary policy have built a “stronger capacity” to withstand global economic volatility.

Speaking at the Africa Capital Forum—held on the sidelines of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s state visit to the United Kingdom—Cardoso painted a picture of a Nigerian economy transitioning from a period of emergency stabilization to one of sustained investment.

A Fortress Against Volatility

The Governor’s address focused heavily on the “de-risking” of the Nigerian financial system. By emphasizing a shift toward a predictable policy framework, Cardoso aimed to reassure international stakeholders that the days of opaque, discretionary decision-making are ending.

“We are reviewing our policies with a view to developing meaningful policies and establishing a predictable policy framework to minimise discretion,” Cardoso stated, noting that consistency is the primary tool for reducing investor uncertainty.

The Governor highlighted several critical milestones achieved under the current administration’s reform agenda:

Banking Recapitalization: The CBN reported that over 30 banks have already met new capital requirements.

Notably, 28% of the newly raised funds originated from foreign investors—a metric Cardoso cited as a clear vote of international confidence.

FX Transparency: A new foreign exchange manual has been deployed, stripping away previous restrictions to boost liquidity and simplify operations for multinational businesses.

Remittance Surge: Increased diaspora remittances have bolstered foreign exchange reserves, providing a crucial buffer against external shocks.

Fiscal-Monetary Synergy: In a departure from previous friction, Cardoso noted that the inclusion of fiscal authorities on the CBN Board and the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has synchronized the nation’s broader economic strategy.

The Digital Frontier: “Vision for Nigeria”

Looking ahead, the Governor announced the completion of a new Payments System Vision. This initiative aims to cement Nigeria’s status as the continental leader in digital payments and cross-border transactions, specifically targeting the removal of regulatory hurdles for the nation’s burgeoning fintech sector.

 

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Tinubu Swears in Taiwo Oyedele as Minister of State for Finance

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Taiwo Oyedele
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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu on Monday swore in Taiwo Oyedele as Minister of State for Finance, praising his experience, dedication, and professionalism in public service.

Speaking shortly after the brief ceremony at the Presidential Villa in Abuja, the president described the appointment as a vote of confidence in Oyedele’s competence and commitment to national development.

Tinubu commended the new minister for his role in coordinating the work of the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms, noting that his expertise and deep knowledge of tax policy had been instrumental in shaping reforms aimed at simplifying Nigeria’s tax system, expanding the revenue base, and improving the business environment.

“We are very proud of your knowledge, your simplicity, ambition, and excellence,” the president said, while also acknowledging the support of Oyedele’s wife, whom he praised for standing by him despite the demands of public service.

Tinubu said Oyedele’s dedication, patience, and determination to serve the country made him well suited for the role, adding that the position carries significant responsibility at a time when Nigeria is pursuing economic stability and growth.

According to the president, the new minister’s efforts in reforming Nigeria’s tax framework have helped address policies he described as outdated and inconsistent with progressive economic thinking.

Oyedele, who hails from Ikaram in Akoko area of Ondo State, is an economist, accountant, and public policy expert.

He obtained a Higher National Diploma in Accountancy and Finance from Yaba College of Technology and later earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Applied Accounting from Oxford Brookes University.

He has also completed executive education programmes at London School of Economics, Yale University, Gordon Institute of Business Science, and Harvard Kennedy School.

Before his appointment, Oyedele spent 22 years at PricewaterhouseCoopers, where he joined in 2001 and rose to become Fiscal Policy Partner and Africa Tax Leader.

He also serves as a professor at Babcock University in Ogun State and as a visiting scholar at Lagos Business School.

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