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Okonjo-Iweala ‘Less Optimistic’ About World Trade In 2024

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Ngozi Okonjo Iweala
Ngozi Okonjo Iweala
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The World Trade Organization’s chief Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala on Wednesday said she was “less optimistic” about world trade in 2024, pointing to tensions in the Red Sea.She said weaker global economic growth, “worsening geopolitical tensions, the new disruptions we see in the Red Sea, on the Suez Canal, the Panama Canal” meant “we are less optimistic”.

Okonjo-Iweala was speaking to journalists at the World Economic Forum in the Swiss resort of Davos where political and economic elites are meeting to discuss global challenges.

Before the massive Hamas attack on Israel in October and the subsequent outbreak of war in Gaza, the WTO had predicted trade would grow by 0.8 per cent in 2023 and projected growth of 3.3 per cent this year.

But Okonjo-Iweala warned the figure for 2024 would now be lower in future forecasts.

“We think there are a lot of downside risks to the forecasts we had made last year of 3.3 percent of growth of merchandise volumes this year. So we expect weaker performance,” she said.

“We will be revising estimates for this year, but they won’t be ready for another month or so,” Okonjo-Iweala added.

A spate of attacks by Yemeni rebels on Red Sea shipping has disrupted the vital trade route while the worst drought in decades to hit the Panama Canal has forced authorities to slow transits.

Yemen’s Huthi rebels say their strikes are in solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza.

The attacks have, however, also caused shipping companies to avoid the Suez Canal.

The Hamas attack on October 7 resulted in the death of around 1,140 people in Israel, most of them civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

More than 24,400 Palestinians, around 70 percent of them women, young children and adolescents, have been killed in the Gaza Strip in Israeli bombardments and ground offensive since October 7, according to the Hamas government’s Ministry of Health.

 

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US-Iran Tensions Push Global Oil Prices to One-Month High

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Global oil prices climbed sharply on Tuesday, reaching their highest level in one month, as renewed military tensions between the United States and Iran raised fresh concerns over the security of oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil prices, rose by 4.19 percent to $86.79 per barrel, its highest level since June 12. Meanwhile, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 3.16 percent to $80.61 per barrel.

The increase follows reports that the United States reimposed a naval blockade on Iran, while renewed exchanges between Washington and Tehran heightened fears of possible disruptions to global energy supplies.

On July 12, Iran announced it had closed the Strait of Hormuz after its naval forces fired a cruise missile at a vessel it alleged was sailing through an unauthorized route. The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important oil shipping routes, with a significant share of global crude exports passing through it daily.

The latest development marks a sharp reversal from just one month ago, when crude oil prices fell to around $82 per barrel after the United States, Israel and Iran reached an agreement to end hostilities across the Middle East, including Lebanon, and reopen the vital waterway.

In Nigeria, the earlier decline in global crude oil prices sparked concerns over domestic fuel pricing.

The Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) had accused petroleum marketers of failing to fully pass the benefits of lower international oil prices to consumers, arguing that reductions in pump prices were not proportional to the decline in crude oil prices.

Similarly, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, disclosed that the Federal Government was engaging oil marketers and regulators to ensure that changes in global crude oil prices are more transparently reflected in the prices Nigerians pay for petrol.

On July 10, the Federal Government also convened a meeting with key stakeholders in the oil and gas sector to discuss fair and transparent pricing of petroleum products across the country.

With fresh geopolitical tensions threatening global oil supplies, analysts say international crude prices could remain volatile in the coming days, with possible implications for fuel prices worldwide, including in Nigeria.

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Ghana Defers Planned Ramaphosa Visit Over Anti-Migrant Tensions in South Africa, Says Diplomatic Ties Remain Strong

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The Government of Ghana has postponed a planned visit by South African President Cyril Ramaphosa following recent anti-migrant attacks in South Africa, insisting that the decision is aimed at preventing the current tensions from overshadowing bilateral engagements between the two countries.

The development comes after reports of violence and intimidation targeting undocumented migrants in parts of South Africa, with some Ghanaian nationals among the Africans reportedly affected. The incidents sparked diplomatic concern in Accra, prompting Ghana’s Minister for Foreign Affairs, Samuel Ablakwa, to summon South Africa’s Acting High Commissioner, Thando Dalamba, to formally convey the country’s strong displeasure over the reported harassment and intimidation of foreign nationals.

In response to the deteriorating security situation, the Ghanaian government also commenced the repatriation of some of its citizens from South Africa.

Media reports on Tuesday suggested that Ghana had rejected a proposed state visit by President Ramaphosa as a diplomatic response to the attacks, fuelling speculation of a freeze in relations between the two African nations.

However, Ghana’s Minister for Government Communications, Felix Ofosu, dismissed those claims, clarifying that the visit had not been rejected but mutually deferred because of the prevailing circumstances.

According to Ofosu, the visit had been scheduled long before the recent wave of xenophobic attacks and was originally planned for early August 2026.

He explained that the Ghanaian government formally communicated its position to Pretoria, expressing the view that postponing the visit would allow both countries to engage more productively once tensions had eased.

“Let me indicate that this is a visit that had been planned well in advance of the outbreak of the recent xenophobic attacks. Indeed, it was slated to take place in early August 2026, but given the outbreak of these attacks and all the issues that have arisen therefrom, we sent a diplomatic communication to the South African government that we believe it is best to defer the visit until such a time when these matters have been resolved, and there is relative calm,” Ofosu said during an interview with Joy FM.

He added that the recent attacks were likely to dominate discussions during any high-level meeting, thereby distracting from the broader strategic issues both countries intended to address.

“Given the nature of the recent attacks, there is a likelihood that they will overshadow the very important issues that would have to be discussed during such a visit. So we believe that when matters settle, and the issue of xenophobic attacks no longer hangs over such discussions, it will then be appropriate to have the visit,” he stated.

Meanwhile, South Africa has also clarified its position on the planned engagement.

Presidential spokesperson Vincent Magwenya dismissed reports suggesting that President Ramaphosa had requested a state visit to Ghana. He explained that Pretoria had only sought confirmation from the Ghanaian authorities regarding arrangements for the third session of the Ghana–South Africa Bi-National Commission, a bilateral platform expected to be co-chaired by Presidents Ramaphosa and John Mahama.

Despite the postponement, Ghana has reiterated that its relationship with South Africa remains cordial and that the decision should not be interpreted as a deterioration in diplomatic relations.

The latest development reflects the sensitivity surrounding the recent anti-migrant violence in South Africa, which has drawn concern from several African governments and renewed calls for stronger protection of foreign nationals living and working in the country.

 

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Ghana Repatriates Citizens From South Africa Amid Rising Anti-Foreigner Violence

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The government of Ghana has commenced the repatriation of its citizens from South Africa following weeks of anti-foreigner protests and xenophobic attacks that targeted African migrants living in the country.

The first evacuation flight carrying nearly 300 Ghanaians departed Johannesburg early Wednesday and is expected to arrive in Ghana later in the day. Ghanaian authorities disclosed that about 800 nationals had registered for voluntary repatriation after tensions escalated in several South African communities.

The repatriation exercise follows a wave of hostility against foreign nationals, particularly African immigrants, after videos circulated widely on social media showing confrontations and assaults involving migrants. The incidents reignited fears of xenophobic violence in South Africa, a country that has witnessed recurring anti-immigrant unrest over the years.

Stephen van Neel, head of Immigration and Law Enforcement at South Africa’s Department of Home Affairs, said investigations conducted during the evacuation process revealed that only 10 of the nearly 300 departing Ghanaians possessed valid residency status in the country.

According to him, the majority were found to be undocumented migrants, permit overstayers, or individuals who failed to comply with immigration regulations. He added that South African authorities would enforce appropriate immigration sanctions against affected persons.

Witnesses at Johannesburg’s OR Tambo International Airport reported that men, women, and children arrived in buses before dawn to board the evacuation flight. However, some individuals were unable to travel after encountering documentation-related complications. Officials said those affected could be considered for a second evacuation flight expected later this week.

The anti-foreigner protests reportedly intensified last month after viral videos showed South Africans openly confronting African migrants and questioning their presence in the country. In one widely shared clip, a Ghanaian man was confronted by a group demanding to know why he had relocated to South Africa. Another video showed a man believed to be Ghanaian being physically assaulted.

The developments prompted strong diplomatic reactions from Ghanaian authorities. Ghana’s Foreign Affairs Minister, Samuel Ablakwa, summoned South Africa’s Acting High Commissioner to Ghana, Thando Dalamba, to formally express what he described as Ghana’s “strong concern” over the intimidation and harassment of foreign nationals.

Addressing the evacuees before departure on Wednesday, Ablakwa assured them that adequate arrangements had been made for their reintegration upon arrival in Ghana. He announced a five-point support package prepared by the government to assist returning citizens.

“You are not refugees, you are not some destitute. Ghana is not some war zone where we cannot take care of our own,” the minister told the returnees.

He stated that the evacuation operation demonstrates Ghana’s commitment to safeguarding its citizens abroad and responding swiftly during emergencies affecting nationals overseas.

Nigerians were also among those affected by the renewed xenophobic tensions in South Africa. According to the Nigerian Consulate in Johannesburg, at least two Nigerians were killed during the attacks.

Earlier this month, Nigeria’s Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, Bianca Odumegwu-Ojukwu, disclosed that President Bola Tinubu had directed relevant authorities to arrange evacuation flights for Nigerians willing to return home voluntarily.

Frank Onyekwelu, president of the Nigerian community in South Africa, said more than 130 Nigerians had already registered for repatriation. However, details regarding the proposed evacuation flights have yet to be officially announced.

Nigeria’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said on Wednesday that further updates concerning the evacuation arrangements would be made public next week.

The latest developments have once again drawn international attention to the recurring issue of xenophobia in South Africa, where frustrations linked to unemployment, crime, and economic hardship are often directed at foreign nationals, particularly migrants from other African countries.

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