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More Nigerians at rist of extreme poverty, hunger – World Bank report

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The World Bank has said that more Nigerians and its Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) neighbours are likely to fall into extreme poverty.

The bank said four in ten Nigerians live below the poverty line, and that many more are at risk of “falling into poverty and becoming food insecure”.

In a newsletter titled: ‘June 2022 Global Economic Prospects’, the bank cited Ukraine’s invasion by Russia as one of the factors driving up global inflation.

The report further said increases in food prices would further erode domestic demand.

The report said: “Growth in SSA is projected to decelerate from 4.2percent in 2021 to 3.7 percent in 2022, as high inflation and policy tightening weaken domestic demand. The growth deceleration in major trading partners is compounding these headwinds.

“Growth is projected to firm slightly to an average of 3.9 percent in 2023-24, assuming further progress with pandemic containment, favorable terms of trade in commodity exporters, and a gradual easing of global food price pressures.

“Although forecasts for both 2022 and 2023 have been unchanged—mainly on account of upward revisions for Nigeria—regional growth excluding the three largest economies (Angola, Nigeria, and South Africa) has been revised down by 0.4 percentage points this year. This reflects slower-than-expected growth in 30 countries, or over 60 percent of SSA economies, which together account for more than one-quarter of the regional GDP.

“Similarly for 2023, excluding the three largest economies, SSA growth has been revised down by 0.4 percent since January. High inflation is anticipated to depress real incomes and domestic demand across the region. The accompanying increase in poverty is especially concerning in countries where many people are already at high risk of falling into food insecurity (Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Liberia, Madagascar, Nigeria, Sierra Leone).

“Slowing reform momentum, elevated levels of violence and insecurity, and policy uncertainty are envisioned to continue to deter private investment in many countries. Lingering pandemic uncertainties are expected to continue to weigh on growth in non-resource sectors, especially in countries with low vaccination rates. Vaccination rates in SSA are anticipated to continue lagging other EMDEs, complicating pandemic management (Agarwal et al. 2022).

“The growth slowdown could also intensify pandemic-induced losses in per capita incomes. In about 45 percent of the region’s economies and a half of its fragile and conflict-affected countries, per capita incomes are forecast to remain below pre-pandemic levels in 2023. Only about 40 percent of SSA economies and 39 percent of the region’s fragile and conflict-affected countries were expected to be in this position in January. SSA as a whole is now expected to remain the only EMDE region where per capita incomes will not return to their 2019 levels even next year.

“In Nigeria, growth is projected to edge up to 3.4 percent in 2022, but will soften to 3.2 percent in both 2023 and 2024. Stronger growth this year reflects support from elevated oil prices, the further recovery in agriculture and manufacturing, and structural reforms (for example, the Petroleum Industry Act of 2021). Production challenges in the oil sector are expected to persist, weighing on growth. The recovery in non-oil sectors is envisioned to continue, although shortages of fuel and higher food prices would restrain growth. Four in ten Nigerians live below the poverty line, with many more at risk of falling into poverty and becoming food insecure. Increases in food prices would further erode domestic demand.

“Across the region, surging food and fuel prices are expected to reverse recent progress in poverty alleviation, especially in countries where vulnerable populations are sizable (Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria), and dependence on imported food is high (Benin, Comoros, The Gambia, Mozambique). Food imports represent about one-fifth of total SSA imports and 6 percent of GDP—over 10 percent of GDP in small and tourism-reliant SSA economies—higher than about 4 percent of GDP in other EMDEs.”

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Tinubu To Present 2027 Budget Before Year-End As FEC Approves Five-Year Development Plan

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu
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President Bola Tinubu is expected to present the 2027 Appropriation Bill to the National Assembly before the end of 2026, as the Federal Executive Council (FEC) approved the National Development Plan 2026–2030 and new policy measures aimed at strengthening food security and tackling child stunting.

The Minister of State for Budget and Economic Planning, Doris Uzoka-Anite, disclosed this on Wednesday while briefing State House correspondents on the outcomes of the FEC meeting chaired by President Tinubu at the Presidential Villa, Abuja.

Uzoka-Anite also announced the council’s approval of the Revised National Policy on Food and Nutrition 2026, which seeks to establish sustainable financing mechanisms and strengthen collaboration among ministries responsible for agriculture, livestock, health and education, as well as development partners.

The announcements followed the conclusion of the 32nd Nigerian Economic Summit, held in Abuja from October 26 to 28, which focused on key issues affecting the country’s economic development.

Meanwhile, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, has clarified that the $21.7 billion borrowing proposal transmitted by President Tinubu to the National Assembly is intended to finance investments in productive assets and infrastructure rather than recurrent expenditure.

Oyedele explained that the proposal represents a multi-year investment programme spanning approximately five years, rather than an immediate drawdown of the entire amount.

According to him, $10.6 billion is earmarked for critical transportation infrastructure, including the Sokoto–Badagry Highway, Lagos–Calabar Coastal Highway and Kano–Kaduna Metro Rail.

He further disclosed that more than $7.9 billion would be sourced from multilateral and bilateral development partners, including $5 billion from the World Bank, at an average interest rate of approximately 2.1 per cent.

The proposed financing package also includes $3.3 billion for state government projects and $1.45 billion for projects in the Federal Capital Territory.

The planned 2027 budget presentation and the approval of the five-year development plan underscore the Federal Government’s efforts to align fiscal planning, infrastructure investment and social development priorities with its broader economic agenda.

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Tinubu Rules Out Fuel Subsidy Return, Says Nigeria Cannot Go Back to ‘Egypt’

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu
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President Bola Tinubu has ruled out any return to petrol subsidy, insisting that the removal of the policy was necessary to prevent Nigeria’s economy from sliding into bankruptcy.

The President reiterated his position on Monday during a meeting with members of the City Boy Movement, a youth-driven political and advocacy group, where he defended the economic reforms introduced by his administration.

Tinubu said the government could no longer sustain the financial burden of subsidising petrol, arguing that the country lacked the resources required to continue funding the scheme.

“I came, and I removed the subsidy on my first day. Nigeria would have gone bankrupt; there was nothing left to pay for subsidies,” he said.

Using a biblical and Quranic analogy to underscore his position, the President declared that reversing the policy would amount to returning to an unsustainable economic system.

“When Moses (Musa) left Egypt, the Red Sea parted and gave way. You cannot ask Moses to go back to Egypt. With your energy and support, we will never go back to Egypt,” he stated.

The removal of petrol subsidy, announced during Tinubu’s inauguration on May 29, 2023, marked a major shift in Nigeria’s fiscal policy. The decision significantly increased petrol prices and contributed to mounting pressure on household incomes, transportation costs and businesses.

Petrol prices, which were below ₦200 per litre before the policy change, have since risen substantially, with prices reported at between ₦1,350 and ₦1,405 per litre across major filling stations.

The resulting increase in energy and transportation costs has continued to fuel public concerns over inflation, declining purchasing power and the overall cost of living.

However, the Federal Government has maintained that subsidy removal is critical to reducing fiscal pressure, improving public revenue and creating room for investment in infrastructure and other priority sectors.

Tinubu acknowledged the political contest surrounding the policy, noting that his opponents had promised to restore fuel subsidy. He nevertheless maintained that his administration would not reverse the reform.

Beyond defending the policy, the President urged members of the City Boy Movement to mobilise support for his administration by communicating its achievements and future plans to young Nigerians across campuses, markets and rural communities.

He also encouraged eligible young people to obtain their Permanent Voter Cards (PVCs) and participate in the electoral process.

The debate over fuel subsidy remains a central issue in Nigeria’s economic policy, with the government defending the reform on fiscal sustainability grounds while households and businesses continue to grapple with the effects of higher fuel prices.

 

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FG Rules Out Electricity Tariff Hike, Targets 24-Hour Power Supply

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The Federal Government has ruled out any plan to increase electricity tariffs, saying its priority is to improve power supply and ensure reliable electricity across the country.

The Minister of Power, Joseph Tegbe, gave the assurance in Ibadan, Oyo State, on Thursday, amid concerns and speculation about a possible increase in electricity tariffs.

Tegbe spoke during the groundbreaking ceremony for five interconnected mini-grid projects with a combined generation capacity of 17.7 megawatts and a 17.74-megawatt-hour Battery Energy Storage System (BESS).

“I want to say this clearly and without ambiguity: there is no plan to increase electricity tariffs. What we are planning is a power sector that works around the clock. Our commitment is 24/7 power,” the minister said.

He urged Nigerians to disregard reports suggesting an impending tariff hike, stressing that the government was focused on improving electricity generation, transmission and distribution.

The five mini-grid projects are located in Bola, Jiboye, Molade-Adelubi, Ogo Oluwa and Sooko-Elega. They are expected to provide electricity to communities across Akinyele, Ido, Ibadan North, Egbeda and Lagelu Local Government Areas of Oyo State.

According to the minister, the projects are designed to expand electricity access, reduce dependence on petrol and diesel-powered generators, and create a more favourable environment for businesses, investment and job creation.

Tegbe said the Federal Government was also implementing a broader energy strategy aimed at improving electricity supply through designated energy corridors, including the Lagos-Ogun, Abuja-Kaduna-Kano and Benin-Enugu-Port Harcourt corridors.

He added that efforts were underway to strengthen the national grid and upgrade generation and transmission infrastructure across the country’s eastern, western and central corridors.

The minister described the mini-grid initiative as part of President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda, noting that similar electricity interventions had been implemented in communities across several states with support from the Rural Electrification Agency (REA).

He commended Tinubu for his leadership and acknowledged the contributions of the REA, project developer Paras Energy and Natural Resources Development Limited, the World Bank and the Ibadan Electricity Distribution Company.

Tegbe also recognised the Oyo State Government, traditional rulers and other stakeholders for their roles in facilitating the projects.

The initiative is expected to improve electricity reliability in the beneficiary communities, support local economic activities and reduce energy costs for households and businesses.

 

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