Business & Economy
World Bank projects 5.6% growth for global economy
Published
5 years agoon
By
News Editor
The global economy is expected to grow at 5.6 per cent in 2021, although many emerging market and developing economies continue to struggle with the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath.
The World Bank said this in its June Global Economic Prospects released on Tuesday in Washington D.C., adding that the expected growth was based largely on strong rebounds from a few major economies.
The 5.6 per cent expected growth, the fastest post-recession pace in 80 years, is an upward review from the 4.1 per cent forecast in January.
According to the bank, in spite of the recovery, global output will be about two per cent below pre-pandemic projections by the end of the year.
Also, per capita income losses would not be unwound by 2022 for about two-thirds of emerging market and developing economies.
It said that among low-income economies, where vaccination had lagged, the effects of the pandemic had reversed poverty reduction gains and aggravated insecurity and other long-standing challenges.
Among major economies, the United States of America’s growth is projected to reach 6.8 per cent, reflecting large-scale fiscal support and the easing of pandemic restrictions, while growth in other advanced economies is also firming, but to a lesser extent.
“Among emerging markets and developing economies, China is anticipated to rebound to 8.5 per cent this year, reflecting the release of pent-up demand.
“Emerging market and developing economies as a group are forecast to expand by six per cent this year, supported by higher demand and elevated commodity prices.”
It however, said that the recovery in many countries was being held back by a resurgence of COVID-19 cases and lagging vaccination progress, as well as the withdrawal of policy support in some instances.
It said that excluding China, the rebound in this group of countries was anticipated to be a more modest 4.4 per cent, while the recovery among emerging market and developing economies was forecast to moderate to 4.7 per cent in 2022.
Even so, gains in this group of economies are not sufficient to recoup losses experienced during the 2020 recession, and output in 2022 was expected to be 4.1 per cent below pre-pandemic projections,” it said.
It added that per capita income in many emerging market and developing economies was also expected to remain below pre-pandemic levels and losses were anticipated to worsen deprivations associated with health, education and living standards.
Major drivers of growth had been expected to lose momentum even before the COVID-19 crisis, and the trend is likely to be amplified by the scarring effects of the pandemic.
“Growth in low-income economies this year is anticipated to be the slowest in the past 20 years other than 2020, partly reflecting the very slow pace of vaccination.
“Low-income economies are forecast to expand by 2.9 per cent in 2021 before picking up to 4.7 per cent in 2022.
“The group’s output level in 2022 is projected to be 4.9 per cent lower than pre-pandemic projections.”
For Sub-Saharan Africa, regional activity is expected to expand a modest 2.8 per cent in 2021 and 3.3 per cent in 2022.
According to the report, positive spillovers from strengthening global activity, better international control of COVID-19 and strong domestic activity in agricultural commodity exporters are expected to gradually help lift growth.
“Nonetheless, the recovery is envisioned to remain fragile, given the legacies of the pandemic and the slow pace of vaccinations in the region.
“In a region where tens of millions more people are estimated to have slipped into extreme poverty because of COVID-19.
“Per capita income growth is set to remain feeble, averaging 0.4 per cent a year in 2021-22, reversing only a small part of last year’s loss.
“Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, and include lingering procurement and logistical impediments to vaccinations, further increases in food prices that could worsen food insecurity, rising internal tensions and conflicts, and deeper-than expected long-term damage from the pandemic.”
In Nigeria, however, growth is projected to resume at a modest rate of 1.8 per cent in 2021 and edge up to 2.1 per cent in 2022, assuming higher oil prices, a gradual implementation of structural reforms in the oil sector and a market-based flexible exchange rate management.
“The expected pickup is also predicated on continued vaccinations in the second half of 2021 and a gradual relaxation of COVID-related restrictions that will allow activity to improve.
“Nonetheless, output in Nigeria is not expected to return to its 2019 level until end-2022.”
David Malpass, the World Bank Group President, said that while there were welcome signs of global recovery, the pandemic continues to inflict poverty and inequality on people in developing countries around the world.
He said that globally coordinated efforts were essential to accelerate vaccine distribution and debt relief, particularly for low-income countries.
“As the health crisis eases, policymakers will need to address the pandemic’s lasting effects and take steps to spur green, resilient, and inclusive growth while safeguarding macroeconomic stability.”
The report said that lowering trade costs such as cumbersome logistics and border procedures could help bolster the recovery among emerging market and developing economies by facilitating trade.
Indermit Gill, World Bank Group Vice President for Equitable Growth and Financial Institutions, said that linkages through trade and global value chains had been a vital engine of economic advancement for developing economies and lifted many people out of poverty.
He said that however, at current trends, global trade growth was set to slow down over the next decade.
“As developing economies recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, cutting trade costs can create an environment conducive to re-engaging in global supply chains and reigniting trade growth.”
It also said that rising food prices and accelerating aggregate inflation may also compound challenges associated with food insecurity in low-income countries.
However, policymakers in these countries should ensure that rising inflation rates do not lead to a de-anchoring of inflation expectations and resist subsidies or price controls to avoid putting upward pressure on global food prices.
Instead, policies focusing on scaling up social safety net programs, improving logistics and climate resilience of local food supply would be more helpful, it added. (NAN)
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Business & Economy
Nigeria Ports Economic Regulatory Agency (NPERA), formerly Nigerian Shippers’ Council, Takes Off
Published
1 day agoon
August 23, 2026
A major change in the running of commercial activities at the nation’s seaports is set to begin with the Nigeria Ports Economic Regulatory Agency (NPERA) officially commencing operations.
Those to head the running of the agency have also been appointed. Chairman of NPERA Governing Board has Dr. Ibrahim Shema, while Dr Pius Akutah, is the Executive Secretary and Chief Executive Officer.
Established under the Nigeria Ports Economic Regulatory Agency Act, 2026, the new agency is to foster order, transparency and predictability to the port business while enhancing Nigeria’s competitiveness as a regional trade hub.
At a press briefing in Lagos, Chairman of the NPERA Governing Board, Dr. Ibrahim Shema, said the development is a major milestone in the evolution of Nigeria’s port system.
Shema highlighted that the new law gives permanent legal backing to economic regulation of the ports, replacing the interim arrangement under which the Nigerian Shippers’ Council operated its role since 2014.
The board chair said the history of port economic regulation dates back to the establishment of the Nigerian Shippers’ Council in 1978 and the concessioning of port terminals in 2006.
But NPERA, under the new framework, he said, will regulate port tariffs and charges, licensing, service standards, competition, commercial disputes and trade facilitation, while also protecting the interests of port users.
The chairman stressed that the agency’s emergence would not create a power struggle with the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA), which will continue to handle port infrastructure and its landlord responsibilities. In his words:
“This is not about creating competing authorities. It is about establishing a coherent system in which institutions work together, each within its statutory responsibilities.”
He said NPERA would focus on eliminating unnecessary regulatory hurdles, reducing uncertainty for businesses and improving the speed of cargo movement through Nigerian ports.
He identified transparency, fairness, predictability, efficiency and accountability as the principles that would guide the agency’s operations.
On port charges, Shema said the new system would provide clearer information on how regulated tariffs are determined, while giving terminal operators and other service providers a better understanding of their regulatory obligations.
He also promised easier access to dispute-resolution mechanisms and greater use of digital platforms for licensing, tariff management, monitoring, compliance and engagement with stakeholders.
He assured stakeholders that the transition from the Nigerian Shippers’ Council to NPERA would be handled without unnecessary disruption, with attention to staff, assets, liabilities, existing contracts, pending disputes, regulatory records and licences.
He called for cooperation among the NPA, Nigerian Maritime Administration and Safety Agency (NIMASA), Nigeria Customs Service, terminal operators, shipping companies, freight forwarders, importers, exporters and other stakeholders.
“The establishment of NPERA is a historic achievement, but the harder work begins now,” he said, stressing that the real test would be the agency’s ability to convert the new law into better services, improved efficiency and stronger competitiveness.
The Executive Secretary and Chief Executive Officer of NPERA, Dr. Pius Akutah, equally expressed confidence that the new regulatory regime would significantly improve the business environment at the ports within the next one to two years.
Akutah said the agency would pursue fair pricing, stronger competition and improved trade facilitation.
Business & Economy
FCCPC Reveals Why Nigerians Pay More for Cement than African Neighbours
Published
5 days agoon
August 20, 2026
–Possible price manipulation
–Search for alternative to cement on
The Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission has said its preliminary investigation into Nigeria’s cement industry suggests likely manipulation of cement prices, following widespread complaints over the soaring cost of the commodity despite the country’s large production capacity and abundant limestone deposits.
It has also opened an investigation into possible price manipulation in Nigeria’s cement industry after a three-month inquiry raised concerns that prevailing market conditions may not fully explain the cost of the building material.
The preliminary findings followed a cross-border study conducted by the commission’s Anticompetitive Practices Department in response to widespread complaints over the rising cost of cement.
In a statement issued on Tuesday by the FCCPC Director of Corporate Affairs, Ondaje Ijagwu, the commission said its investigation compared Nigeria’s cement market with those of Kenya, Tanzania, South Africa, Egypt, Morocco, Algeria and Togo.
An analysis of findings in the FCCPC report showed that the cost of cement in Nigeria is higher than the prices of the same quantity of the commodity in neighbouring African countries.
The study examined the availability of limestone, population, production capacity, consumption and retail prices. The statement read:
“Findings from an industry-wide investigation conducted by the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission suggest possible manipulation of prices of cement in the Nigerian market.
“This is the preliminary summation of the 40-page field reports collated following a three-month cross-border study by the Anticompetitive Practices Department of the Commission, undertaken in response to widespread public complaints over the high cost of cement, a common staple in the country’s construction industry.”
The commission noted that Nigeria has substantial limestone deposits and installed cement production capacity estimated at between 60 million and 65 million metric tonnes annually, against domestic consumption of about 25 million to 30 million metric tonnes.
Despite the reported excess capacity and Nigeria’s position as a net exporter to neighbouring countries, the commission said domestic prices had continued to rise.
Market intelligence reviewed by the FCCPC showed that a 50kg bag of cement, which sold for between N9,300 and N9,700 in January, rose to between N10,500 and N13,000 by mid-year. By July, prices of between N13,000 and N15,000 were reported in some parts of the country.
The commission also found that cement sold at lower prices in some African markets. In Kenya, where the population is about 58.6 million and cement demand was estimated at 9.3 million metric tonnes in 2025, a bag sold for about $5.40, or N7,344.
In Tanzania, with a population of about 66.3 million and similar cement demand, a bag sold for about $4.80, or N6,528. In Togo, which the commission said has no limestone deposits, cement retailed at about $6.75, or N9,180 per bag.
The FCCPC said the price disparity had raised questions about why Nigeria’s significant production capacity and raw material endowment had not translated into greater downward pressure on prices.
It said industry players had attributed the high prices to energy costs, naira depreciation, imported machinery and spare parts, as well as transportation and logistics expenses.
However, the commission said it was testing those explanations against verified information on production costs, pricing, capacity utilisation and other market conditions.
“Of particular concern to the commission is that this level of production capacity has not resulted in the downward pressure on domestic prices that might ordinarily be expected in a competitive market with substantial excess capacity.
“Information provided by industry participants has identified energy costs, depreciation of the Naira and its effect on imported machinery and spare parts, as well as transportation and logistics costs, among the factors contributing to cement prices.
“The commission is testing these explanations against verified information on costs, production, pricing and market conditions. However, the weight of preliminary findings provides sufficient grounds for the investigation to continue,” the statement said.
The FCCPC said the preliminary findings provided sufficient grounds to continue the investigation and determine whether cement prices were driven by legitimate costs or by anti-competitive practices.
The probe will examine possible coordinated conduct, abuse of market power, restriction of domestic supply and anti-competitive distribution practices.
Accordingly, the commission has issued Notices of Commencement of Investigation and Summons to Produce to key players in the sector, demanding records on pricing methodologies, production, capacity utilisation, exports and commercial relationships.
“Next is to determine whether prevailing cement prices can be explained by legitimate costs and market conditions, or whether there is evidence of coordinated conduct, abuse of market power, restriction of domestic supply, anti-competitive distribution practices or other conduct contrary to the provisions of the FCCPA,” it added.
Commenting, the Executive Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of the FCCPC, Tunji Bello, said the investigation was necessary because of cement’s strategic importance to the economy.
“Cement occupies a strategic place in the Nigerian economy. Its price affects the cost of building a home, developing commercial property, delivering public infrastructure and, ultimately, the cost of doing business. When concerns persist about how such an important market is functioning, the Commission has a duty to look beyond assumptions and establish the facts,” Bello said.
He stressed that the investigation was not aimed at dictating how companies should conduct their businesses or limiting legitimate profits.
“Businesses are entitled to make legitimate commercial decisions and earn returns on their investments. Competition law does not prevent that. Its purpose is to protect the competitive process, so that prices, output and other market outcomes are determined by genuine competition rather than conduct that unlawfully restricts it,” Bello said.
The investigation comes amid growing pressure on the construction sector, where rising cement prices have increased the cost of housing and infrastructure projects across the country.
OPS, economists react
Building sector leaders and economists explained that the factors behind the high cement prices in Nigeria are compounded; on the one hand, it is largely structural, including transportation of limestone on impassable roads, and on the other hand, it could be influenced by monetary policy, including taxes.
They noted that there is only so much that the FCCPC could do, especially because any government intervention risks could impact free trade.
Reports indicate that, business leaders, including the Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry Construction Group, Soji Adeniji, explained that his experience in a recent project confirmed the FCCPC report.
“I was in Canada recently, and a friend of mine who is having a project in Canada was contemplating buying cement from abroad. He was of the opinion that, why can’t we buy cement from Nigeria, as in he wants to import cement from Nigeria and stuff like that.
“By the time he did his calculations, he found out that cement is not as cheap in Nigeria, and that we could arrange for the importation.
Eventually, as the report stated, he found out that Turkey is more price-friendly. He was able to establish a relationship with Turkey. Of course, the Tanzania, Kenya market too was a bit preferable, which boils down to the fact that the price of cement in Nigeria is higher. But then the question would be, what is the location of that kind of high cost?”
Adeniji also acknowledged that the cement market in Nigeria is experiencing a moment of scarcity, but noted that the given reasons may not be as satisfying.
“Why are we having scarcity? Some people are saying because it was raining and therefore limestone deposits, well, that is not, I mean, for me, for the past two weeks now, since the beginning of August, there has not been much rainfall to affect any production. But what is happening to the limestone would be another thing,” the LCCI construction group leader stated.
He noted that other business factors could play a role, adding, “If you check the production line and look at that production chain line, you look at it from limestone to the facility that is an infrastructure facility for production.
“You look at the economy, which is stable, so we cannot be saying that things are changing. The economy is stable, and has been consistent for too long a time. Then other challenges, maybe with the manufacturer.
“You’d notice that Lafarge has just changed. A company called HBM has just bought over Lafarge, meaning that maybe the management issue or something like that. So, when you look at that production, up to the level of distribution, you’ll ask again, why are we experiencing this? They will be telling you logistics, transportation for delivery, and that kind of thing.
He noted that taxation could be another factor. “Some people from the manufacturer’s side too might be talking about the issue of double taxation, and things like that. If the tax regime is not favorable, there’s nothing definite.”
These experts urged the government to invest in improving supply to meet increasing demand, which may have caused exorbitant prices. They recommended working with researchers and the private sector to develop alternatives to cement for concrete making.
On his part, Professor of Economics and Public Policy, University of Uyo, Prof Akpan Ekpo, said the housing sector, is a very crucial part of investment where the cement issue could be a supply problem.
“This could be more demand than supply. So what the government should do is that you look at that sector properly and see whether you can help that sector.”
Ekpo called on the government to help people who need access to finance in order to be in the cement business. “Otherwise,” he said, “you’d keep having this problem of high cost of cement.”
A member of the Nigerian Institute of Building and Yaba College of Technology researcher, Samuel Shonibare, said, “I urged the government to look for alternatives to the use of cement in construction. There has been a lot of research that studied other materials that can be used to replace cement partially in concrete production.
“I’m trying to look at the probability of using rice shells as partial replacements for cement in concrete production. It’s one research project I’m currently working on. Not that I’m even trying, I’m on it.”
He explained that if the country reduces the use of cement in construction, of course, there will be a drastic reduction in the price of cement that is being used in construction. “So the recommendations I would make for now is telling the stakeholders in the construction industry to focus on research that will yield an alternative material to cement. If the producers of cement have discovered that there’s a shift in the usage, I think that will lead to a reduction in the price,” Shonibare noted.
Meanwhile, the Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, urged the government to carry out more rigorous research to ensure a detailed solution.
He said, “In order for a balanced view, it is important to hear from the FCCPC what the producers and distributors of cement have to say. Secondly, we need to know the cost structure of the cement producers and suppliers in the foreign countries. It will help us gain clear insight.”
Yusuf noted that understanding what factors impact the pricing of cement in the other countries will enrich the FCCPC inquiry.
He added, “The report needs to be more rigorous and show us the cost structure in the other countries. We need to know their cost of production, taxes, logistics and energy. Having the factors that underlie the prices will help (the probe), since it is presented as a comparative report.”
Business & Economy
Inflation Rate Eases to 15.43% in July — NBS
Published
1 week agoon
August 17, 2026
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate declined to 15.43 per cent in July 2026, from 15.91 per cent in June, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.
The latest figure represents a 0.48 percentage-point decline in headline inflation month-on-month, indicating a moderation in the pace of increase in the average prices of goods and services.
According to the NBS, the month-on-month headline inflation rate also eased to 1.57 per cent in July, compared with 1.66 per cent in June, representing a decline of 0.09 percentage points.
The bureau explained that the development means the average price level increased at a slower rate in July than it did in June.
However, the moderation in headline inflation was accompanied by a rise in food inflation on a month-on-month basis.
NBS reported that food inflation rose to 5.56 per cent in July, up from 3.75 per cent in June, representing an increase of 1.82 percentage points.
On a year-on-year basis, food inflation stood at 20.31 per cent in July 2026, compared with 26.20 per cent recorded in July 2025.
The bureau attributed the month-on-month increase in food prices to changes in the average prices of commodities including crayfish, fresh pepper, onions, carrots, rice, water yam, tomatoes, garri, plantain, beef, eggs, guinea corn, ginger and plantain flour.
NBS said the year-on-year rise in food inflation was particularly influenced by increases in the prices of rice, water yam and plantain.
At the state level, Adamawa recorded the highest month-on-month food inflation at 17.02 per cent, followed by Lagos at 13.48 per cent and Borno at 13.26 per cent.
In contrast, Jigawa, Kebbi and Bauchi recorded declines of 3.68 per cent, 3.67 per cent and 1.85 per cent, respectively.
On a year-on-year basis, Adamawa recorded the highest food inflation at 51.36 per cent, followed by Katsina at 30.84 per cent and Zamfara at 30.65 per cent.
Borno recorded the slowest year-on-year food inflation at -0.31 per cent, followed by Nasarawa at 6.88 per cent and Kebbi at 12.50 per cent.
The latest figures point to a continued easing in Nigeria’s overall inflation rate, although food-price pressures remain a major concern for households and consumers.
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